A Less Peaceful Christmas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (9 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 10
Defender wins (Filipino): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 989 | 54% | 2023-02-08 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2022-02-23 | | Won |
| 1140 | 925 | 78% | 2022-02-22 | | Won |
| 955 | 1000 | 44% | 2022-02-20 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 925 | 63% | 2022-02-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2022-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1012 | 1102 | 37% | 2021-02-13 | | Lost |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2020-11-03 | | Won |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2020-08-20 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1069.7 vs 988.1 has a 61.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).