To The Neman
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (9 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 1089 | 44% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
| 1045 | 977 | 60% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 780 | 1077 | 15% | 2021-12-15 | Lost |
| 1172 | 924 | 81% | 2021-07-05 | Won |
| 1143 | 949 | 75% | 2021-02-03 | Won |
| 1021 | 872 | 70% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
| 1018 | 1120 | 36% | 2020-11-02 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2020-11-02 | Won |
| 1134 | 1217 | 38% | 2020-10-29 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1046.6 vs 1038.3 has a 51.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).