To The Neman
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (9 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 1028 | 53% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
| 1203 | 954 | 81% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 762 | 1156 | 9% | 2021-12-15 | Lost |
| 1173 | 924 | 81% | 2021-07-05 | Won |
| 1109 | 951 | 71% | 2021-02-03 | Won |
| 1068 | 918 | 70% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
| 1024 | 1106 | 38% | 2020-11-02 | Won |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2020-11-02 | Won |
| 1136 | 1219 | 38% | 2020-10-29 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1062.7 vs 1040.2 has a 53.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).