To The Neman
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (9 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 1010 | 56% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
| 1181 | 961 | 78% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 764 | 1189 | 8% | 2021-12-15 | Lost |
| 1174 | 925 | 81% | 2021-07-05 | Won |
| 1143 | 951 | 75% | 2021-02-03 | Won |
| 1068 | 900 | 72% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
| 1013 | 1107 | 37% | 2020-11-02 | Won |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2020-11-02 | Won |
| 1135 | 1219 | 38% | 2020-10-29 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1063 vs 1041 has a 53.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).