To The Neman
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (9 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (German): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 993 | 57% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
| 1195 | 929 | 82% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 788 | 1205 | 8% | 2021-12-15 | Lost |
| 1173 | 924 | 81% | 2021-07-05 | Won |
| 1195 | 951 | 80% | 2021-02-03 | Won |
| 1067 | 937 | 68% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
| 1016 | 1110 | 37% | 2020-11-02 | Won |
| 1045 | 1110 | 41% | 2020-11-02 | Won |
| 1135 | 1219 | 38% | 2020-10-29 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1072.6 vs 1042 has a 54.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).