Eight Million Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (19 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 28
Defender wins (Greek): 8
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (Greek): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1019 | 966 | 58% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2024-11-10 | Won |
| 975 | 1044 | 40% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 991 | 1029 | 45% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 986 | 980 | 51% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
| 1169 | 986 | 74% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1216 | 931 | 84% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 940 | 1138 | 24% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 940 | 1138 | 24% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1174 | 46% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
| 1013 | 1073 | 41% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1095 | 986 | 65% | 2021-02-11 | Won |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 980 | 911 | 60% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1011 | 1013 | 50% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1100 | 1124 | 47% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 903 | 972 | 40% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1164 | 972 | 75% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1340 | 1020 | 86% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1055.8 vs 1021.3 has a 54.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).