Eight Million Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (19 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 29
Defender wins (Greek): 8
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (Greek): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 944 | 65% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2024-11-10 | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1020 | 1084 | 41% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 999 | 952 | 57% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
| 1152 | 999 | 71% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1216 | 931 | 84% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 992 | 1090 | 36% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 992 | 1090 | 36% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1119 | 51% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
| 1013 | 1070 | 42% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2021-02-11 | Won |
| 1138 | 999 | 69% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 980 | 928 | 57% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 999 | 976 | 53% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1146 | 1133 | 52% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 901 | 975 | 40% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1123 | 975 | 70% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1219 | 1017 | 76% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1069.9 vs 1005.9 has a 59.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).