Eight Million Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (19 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 28
Defender wins (Greek): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (Greek): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1148 | 30% | 2026-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1001 | 953 | 57% | 2025-09-13 | D | Won |
| 1000 | 994 | 51% | 2024-11-10 | | Won |
| 946 | 1014 | 40% | 2024-10-11 | | Won |
| 1012 | 1129 | 34% | 2022-10-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 979 | 53% | 2021-05-24 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 908 | 86% | 2021-04-21 | | Won |
| 909 | 1051 | 31% | 2021-03-25 | | Lost |
| 909 | 1051 | 31% | 2021-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1110 | 35% | 2021-03-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1105 | 35% | 2021-02-13 | | Won |
| 1084 | 1128 | 44% | 2021-02-11 | | Won |
| 1155 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-12-06 | | Won |
| 980 | 821 | 71% | 2020-12-04 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1058 | 43% | 2020-11-18 | | Won |
| 988 | 1138 | 30% | 2020-11-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2020-11-03 | | Won |
| 1177 | 991 | 74% | 2020-11-03 | | Won |
| 1265 | 1014 | 81% | 2020-10-17 | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1034.3 vs 1030.7 has a 50.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).