Eight Million Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (19 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 28
Defender wins (Greek): 8
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (Greek): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 946 | 60% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2024-11-10 | Won |
| 975 | 1016 | 44% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 991 | 1051 | 41% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 805 | 980 | 27% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
| 1204 | 805 | 91% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1220 | 932 | 84% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 893 | 1183 | 16% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 893 | 1183 | 16% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1163 | 47% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
| 1013 | 1050 | 45% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1084 | 1013 | 60% | 2021-02-11 | Won |
| 1109 | 805 | 85% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1008 | 917 | 63% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1013 | 1044 | 46% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1055 | 1124 | 40% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 903 | 949 | 43% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1178 | 949 | 79% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1333 | 1031 | 85% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1041.8 vs 1005.4 has a 55.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).