Eight Million Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (19 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 28
Defender wins (Greek): 8
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (Greek): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1063 | 967 | 63% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 950 | 962 | 48% | 2024-11-10 | Won |
| 992 | 1049 | 42% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1011 | 1024 | 48% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 980 | 981 | 50% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
| 1260 | 980 | 83% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1217 | 931 | 84% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 996 | 1058 | 41% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 996 | 1058 | 41% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1173 | 43% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
| 1013 | 1075 | 41% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1105 | 980 | 67% | 2021-02-11 | Won |
| 1144 | 980 | 72% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 980 | 904 | 61% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1026 | 983 | 56% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1098 | 1125 | 46% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 902 | 995 | 37% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1116 | 995 | 67% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1252 | 1018 | 79% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1064.6 vs 1012.5 has a 57.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).