Second Hand News
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (22 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 37
Defender wins (Italian / Partisan (French)): 43
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
956 | 977 | 47% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
1172 | 1142 | 54% | 2023-03-24 | Won |
1116 | 1115 | 50% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
950 | 1144 | 25% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
1131 | 1049 | 62% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
1128 | 1049 | 61% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
1307 | 1086 | 78% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
991 | 903 | 62% | 2022-02-15 | Won |
954 | 989 | 45% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
1083 | 1048 | 55% | 2021-11-05 | Lost |
1170 | 1197 | 46% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
1197 | 1169 | 54% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
929 | 1168 | 20% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
1138 | 1058 | 61% | 2021-05-24 | Won |
1058 | 1041 | 52% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
1026 | 1327 | 15% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
961 | 1284 | 13% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
780 | 1008 | 21% | 2020-12-22 | Lost |
876 | 1175 | 15% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
1083 | 1158 | 39% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
1109 | 1092 | 52% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
925 | 950 | 46% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1047.3 vs 1096.8 has a 42.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).