Second Hand News
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 114 (41 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 54
Defender wins (Italian / Partisan (French)): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 733 | 78% | 2025-12-22 | Lost |
| 1096 | 919 | 73% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 1134 | 992 | 69% | 2025-10-30 | Won |
| 930 | 1096 | 28% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2025-01-13 | Won |
| 1008 | 1076 | 40% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 945 | 1074 | 32% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 893 | 878 | 52% | 2024-09-29 | Won |
| 1151 | 1104 | 57% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 966 | 910 | 58% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1179 | 44% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1173 | 49% | 2023-03-24 | Won |
| 1051 | 985 | 59% | 2022-11-30 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2022-05-05 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1107 | 45% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1072 | 59% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 980 | 1118 | 31% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 1192 | 1072 | 67% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1157 | 63% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 990 | 892 | 64% | 2022-02-15 | Won |
| 962 | 950 | 52% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1044 | 48% | 2021-11-05 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1195 | 1186 | 51% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1048 | 63% | 2021-07-02 | Won |
| 1186 | 1176 | 51% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 885 | 1136 | 19% | 2021-06-06 | Won |
| 975 | 982 | 49% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1125 | 989 | 69% | 2021-05-24 | Won |
| 965 | 1283 | 14% | 2021-05-15 | Lost |
| 989 | 965 | 53% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1180 | 29% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1136 | 54% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 929 | 1217 | 16% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1087 | 66% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 904 | 980 | 39% | 2020-12-22 | Lost |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 923 | 1041 | 34% | 2020-12-01 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1211 | 26% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1100 | 44% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 1229 | 980 | 81% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1045 vs 1066.8 has a 46.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).