Second Hand News
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (35 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 46
Defender wins (Italian / Partisan (French)): 54
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 963 | 1089 | 33% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-01-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 953 | 57% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 896 | 894 | 50% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-09-29 | Won |
| 1068 | 1000 | 60% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 1015 | 941 | 60% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 984 | 1120 | 31% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1091 | 51% | 2023-03-24 | Won |
| 1007 | 828 | 74% | 2022-11-30 | Won |
| 1119 | 1086 | 55% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1092 | 61% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 983 | 1032 | 43% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 1092 | 1092 | 50% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1277 | 1113 | 72% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 963 | 930 | 55% | 2022-02-15 | Won |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1100 | 47% | 2021-11-05 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1000 | 66% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1179 | 1104 | 61% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1133 | 46% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 984 | 65% | 2021-06-06 | Won |
| 1031 | 967 | 59% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1040 | 999 | 56% | 2021-05-24 | Won |
| 999 | 888 | 65% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1141 | 42% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1157 | 984 | 73% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 974 | 1105 | 32% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1060 | 50% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2020-12-22 | Lost |
| 983 | 1002 | 47% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 1308 | 1113 | 75% | 2020-12-01 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1129 | 43% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
| 1246 | 1087 | 71% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 983 | 898 | 62% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1059.7 vs 1027.3 has a 54.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).