Second Hand News
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 110 (39 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 52
Defender wins (Italian / Partisan (French)): 58
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 919 | 74% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 1170 | 991 | 74% | 2025-10-30 | Won |
| 930 | 1100 | 27% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2025-01-13 | Won |
| 1047 | 1078 | 46% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 893 | 878 | 52% | 2024-09-29 | Won |
| 1131 | 1104 | 54% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 980 | 885 | 63% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | 2023-03-24 | Won |
| 1051 | 950 | 64% | 2022-11-30 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2022-05-05 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1107 | 48% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1088 | 56% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 805 | 1118 | 14% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 1182 | 1088 | 63% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 990 | 892 | 64% | 2022-02-15 | Won |
| 941 | 962 | 47% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1045 | 44% | 2021-11-05 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1041 | 61% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1193 | 1143 | 57% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1047 | 65% | 2021-07-02 | Won |
| 1143 | 1132 | 52% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 885 | 1135 | 19% | 2021-06-06 | Won |
| 1063 | 1014 | 57% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1124 | 989 | 69% | 2021-05-24 | Won |
| 989 | 1013 | 47% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1217 | 23% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1135 | 53% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 939 | 1218 | 17% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1087 | 64% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 917 | 980 | 41% | 2020-12-22 | Lost |
| 878 | 1103 | 21% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1122 | 44% | 2020-12-01 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1187 | 26% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1100 | 62% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 1236 | 805 | 92% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1058.3 vs 1063.7 has a 49.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).