Second Hand News
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 113 (40 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 54
Defender wins (Italian / Partisan (French)): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 950 | 731 | 78% | 2025-12-22 | Lost |
| 1090 | 918 | 73% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 1170 | 991 | 74% | 2025-10-30 | Won |
| 930 | 1090 | 28% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2025-01-13 | Won |
| 1042 | 1084 | 44% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 925 | 1073 | 30% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 893 | 878 | 52% | 2024-09-29 | Won |
| 1141 | 1104 | 55% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 980 | 860 | 67% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1174 | 48% | 2023-03-24 | Won |
| 1051 | 953 | 64% | 2022-11-30 | Won |
| 731 | 1139 | 9% | 2022-05-05 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1109 | 45% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1072 | 59% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 1114 | 1113 | 50% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 1193 | 1072 | 67% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1090 | 81% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 990 | 892 | 64% | 2022-02-15 | Won |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1045 | 48% | 2021-11-05 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1041 | 53% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1193 | 1143 | 57% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1047 | 63% | 2021-07-02 | Won |
| 1143 | 1133 | 51% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 884 | 1135 | 19% | 2021-06-06 | Won |
| 1063 | 1013 | 57% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1124 | 989 | 69% | 2021-05-24 | Won |
| 989 | 980 | 51% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1194 | 28% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1135 | 54% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 939 | 1217 | 17% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1086 | 63% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 927 | 980 | 42% | 2020-12-22 | Lost |
| 878 | 1103 | 21% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 923 | 1059 | 31% | 2020-12-01 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1194 | 28% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1100 | 53% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1114 | 57% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1055.4 vs 1060.5 has a 49.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).