Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 139 (22 on the archive and 117 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 64
Defender wins (German): 75
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2024-11-07 | Won |
| 1028 | 1165 | 31% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 954 | 1025 | 40% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1026 | 46% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 887 | 729 | 71% | 2022-07-09 | Won |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1060 | 1064 | 49% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1029 | 50% | 2021-08-25 | Lost |
| 985 | 956 | 54% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1130 | 954 | 73% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
| 1032 | 1200 | 28% | 2021-03-09 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1086 | 66% | 2021-03-08 | Lost |
| 967 | 1032 | 41% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1181 | 40% | 2021-01-14 | Won |
| 1154 | 1242 | 38% | 2021-01-08 | Won |
| 1019 | 1052 | 45% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 1014 | 972 | 56% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 873 | 930 | 42% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1044 | 51% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1025 | 64% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1032.2 vs 1027.7 has a 50.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).