Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 147 (25 on the archive and 122 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 68
Defender wins (German): 79
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2026-05-12 | | Won |
| 1194 | 1000 | 75% | 2025-11-10 | | Won |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2024-11-07 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 2024-02-09 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 992 | 81% | 2024-02-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2023-12-11 | | Won |
| 953 | 1024 | 40% | 2023-04-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-11-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 692 | 85% | 2022-07-09 | | Won |
| 967 | 992 | 46% | 2021-09-03 | | Won |
| 967 | 992 | 46% | 2021-09-03 | | Won |
| 1087 | 987 | 64% | 2021-08-29 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-08-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2021-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1195 | 967 | 79% | 2021-04-16 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1152 | 34% | 2021-03-09 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2021-03-08 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1036 | 40% | 2021-01-21 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2021-01-14 | | Won |
| 1231 | 1138 | 63% | 2021-01-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1050 | 43% | 2020-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 1119 | 44% | 2020-12-19 | | Lost |
| 841 | 920 | 39% | 2020-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2020-12-03 | | Lost |
| 1146 | 952 | 75% | 2020-10-18 | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1064.2 vs 985 has a 61.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).