Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 144 (23 on the archive and 121 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 67
Defender wins (German): 77
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1169 | 1188 | 47% | 2025-11-10 | Won |
| 1138 | 731 | 91% | 2024-11-07 | Won |
| 1037 | 1165 | 32% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 953 | 1023 | 40% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1026 | 46% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 887 | 755 | 68% | 2022-07-09 | Won |
| 1012 | 969 | 56% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1012 | 969 | 56% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1071 | 1085 | 48% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2021-08-25 | Lost |
| 975 | 962 | 52% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1012 | 70% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
| 1035 | 1194 | 29% | 2021-03-09 | Lost |
| 1194 | 1086 | 65% | 2021-03-08 | Lost |
| 967 | 1035 | 40% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1138 | 45% | 2021-01-14 | Won |
| 1143 | 1151 | 49% | 2021-01-08 | Won |
| 1018 | 1053 | 45% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 1044 | 975 | 60% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 889 | 931 | 44% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1013 | 49% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1164 | 972 | 75% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1045.5 vs 1022.2 has a 53.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).