Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 138 (21 on the archive and 117 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 63
Defender wins (German): 75
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1165 | 31% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1116 | 38% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 948 | 1030 | 38% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1026 | 46% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 878 | 789 | 63% | 2022-07-09 | Won |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1060 | 1082 | 47% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1059 | 49% | 2021-08-25 | Lost |
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1137 | 940 | 76% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
| 1032 | 1223 | 25% | 2021-03-09 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1085 | 69% | 2021-03-08 | Lost |
| 967 | 1032 | 41% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1210 | 35% | 2021-01-14 | Won |
| 1141 | 1282 | 31% | 2021-01-08 | Won |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 1045 | 967 | 61% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 895 | 943 | 43% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 927 | 927 | 50% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1009 | 70% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1020.6 vs 1043.7 has a 46.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).