Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 147 (25 on the archive and 122 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 68
Defender wins (German): 79
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2026-05-12 | | Won |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2025-11-10 | | Won |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2024-11-07 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2024-02-09 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 992 | 83% | 2024-02-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | 2023-12-11 | | Won |
| 953 | 1023 | 40% | 2023-04-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-11-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 698 | 85% | 2022-07-09 | | Won |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2021-09-03 | | Won |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2021-09-03 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1031 | 58% | 2021-08-29 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2021-08-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2021-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1195 | 977 | 78% | 2021-04-16 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1102 | 41% | 2021-03-09 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2021-03-08 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1036 | 40% | 2021-01-21 | | Lost |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2021-01-14 | | Won |
| 1181 | 1241 | 41% | 2021-01-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2020-12-30 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2020-12-19 | | Lost |
| 848 | 920 | 40% | 2020-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 975 | 54% | 2020-12-03 | | Lost |
| 1123 | 975 | 70% | 2020-10-18 | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1056.8 vs 994.3 has a 58.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).