Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 146 (24 on the archive and 122 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 67
Defender wins (German): 79
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1218 | 1188 | 54% | 2025-11-10 | Won |
| 1140 | 726 | 92% | 2024-11-07 | Won |
| 1032 | 1181 | 30% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1004 | 82% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1060 | 46% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 953 | 1024 | 40% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1026 | 46% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 887 | 756 | 68% | 2022-07-09 | Won |
| 1002 | 960 | 56% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1002 | 960 | 56% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1068 | 1041 | 54% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1037 | 52% | 2021-08-25 | Lost |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1002 | 72% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
| 1035 | 1198 | 28% | 2021-03-09 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1087 | 65% | 2021-03-08 | Lost |
| 967 | 1035 | 40% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1138 | 45% | 2021-01-14 | Won |
| 1174 | 1186 | 48% | 2021-01-08 | Won |
| 1018 | 1065 | 43% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 1097 | 908 | 75% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 859 | 932 | 40% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1116 | 995 | 67% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1055.2 vs 1019.6 has a 55.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).