Dying for Danzig
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (10 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 20
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 935 | 64% | 2025-10-28 | Won |
| 1041 | 983 | 58% | 2025-07-16 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1143 | 69% | 2025-02-08 | Won |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1066 | 55% | 2023-02-22 | Won |
| 989 | 939 | 57% | 2023-02-18 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1283 | 17% | 2022-09-10 | Won |
| 1041 | 1020 | 53% | 2021-11-19 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2021-07-20 | Lost |
| 992 | 1049 | 42% | 2020-12-31 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1058.5 vs 1051.7 has a 50.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).