Dying for Danzig
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (13 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (German): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2026-04-26 | Won |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2026-03-28 | Won |
| 1245 | 1158 | 62% | 2026-03-16 | Lost |
| 1031 | 972 | 58% | 2025-10-28 | Won |
| 1042 | 999 | 56% | 2025-07-16 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1143 | 67% | 2025-02-08 | Won |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1066 | 55% | 2023-02-22 | Won |
| 989 | 939 | 57% | 2023-02-18 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1263 | 18% | 2022-09-10 | Won |
| 967 | 1030 | 41% | 2021-11-19 | Won |
| 1049 | 1043 | 51% | 2021-07-20 | Lost |
| 960 | 1026 | 41% | 2020-12-31 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1039.8 vs 1039 has a 50.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).