One Last Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (11 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 10
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 981 | 1027 | 43% | 2025-07-25 | | Won |
| 965 | 996 | 46% | 2025-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2024-01-29 | | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2023-12-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2023-09-15 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2022-08-04 | | Won |
| 891 | 1015 | 33% | 2022-03-26 | | Lost |
| 989 | 999 | 49% | 2021-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1164 | 998 | 72% | 2021-10-01 | | Won |
| 1216 | 1283 | 40% | 2021-02-13 | | Won |
| 1006 | 1182 | 27% | 2021-02-10 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1056 vs 1061.2 has a 49.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).