Defence of St. Oedenrode
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (11 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (American): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1256 | 888 | 89% | 2026-02-21 | Won |
| 1020 | 986 | 55% | 2025-05-10 | Won |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2024-02-14 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1173 | 50% | 2023-06-30 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2023-03-29 | Lost |
| 1024 | 953 | 60% | 2023-01-08 | Lost |
| 991 | 939 | 57% | 2022-09-18 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2022-04-11 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1018 | 51% | 2021-10-14 | Won |
| 968 | 934 | 55% | 2021-04-06 | Won |
| 1218 | 1237 | 47% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1092.8 vs 1043.2 has a 57.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).