Absorbing The Thrust
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (13 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 17
Defender wins (German): 18
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1203 | 919 | 84% | 2025-11-01 | Won |
| 1217 | 794 | 92% | 2025-10-18 | Won |
| 928 | 1032 | 35% | 2025-10-17 | Won |
| 1082 | 1104 | 47% | 2025-05-16 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1070 | 49% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2024-03-13 | Won |
| 1024 | 896 | 68% | 2023-11-18 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1172 | 37% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 995 | 1031 | 45% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 1217 | 1268 | 43% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
| 1048 | 1024 | 53% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2021-01-06 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1180 | 29% | 2020-12-28 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1080.8 vs 1050.9 has a 54.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).