Absorbing The Thrust
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (13 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 17
Defender wins (German): 18
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1194 | 916 | 83% | 2025-11-01 | Won |
| 1178 | 790 | 90% | 2025-10-18 | Won |
| 927 | 982 | 42% | 2025-10-17 | Won |
| 1069 | 1089 | 47% | 2025-05-16 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1066 | 45% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2024-03-13 | Won |
| 1023 | 895 | 68% | 2023-11-18 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1173 | 37% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 996 | 1031 | 45% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 1150 | 1268 | 34% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
| 1043 | 1021 | 53% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
| 1038 | 981 | 58% | 2021-01-06 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1188 | 28% | 2020-12-28 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1071.2 vs 1044.1 has a 53.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).