Where The Reindeer Dare Not Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (5 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 1063 | 39% | 2025-08-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2024-10-14 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2021-06-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 988 | 52% | 2021-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1006 | 951 | 58% | 2021-03-20 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1022.6 vs 1019.6 has a 50.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).