Where The Reindeer Dare Not Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (5 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 961 | 1052 | 37% | 2025-08-25 | Won |
| 1102 | 1102 | 50% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1013 | 63% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
| 1065 | 978 | 62% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
| 1006 | 909 | 64% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1048.2 vs 1010.8 has a 55.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).