Dingoes At Damour
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (26 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 42
Defender wins (Vichy French): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1074 | 51% | 2024-05-10 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1120 | 40% | 2024-04-23 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1155 | 50% | 2024-04-20 | Lost |
| 958 | 986 | 46% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1099 | 47% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1218 | 26% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
| 1167 | 951 | 78% | 2022-10-15 | Won |
| 1059 | 1084 | 46% | 2022-10-03 | Won |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2022-09-07 | Won |
| 1076 | 935 | 69% | 2022-08-17 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1039 | 997 | 56% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1077 | 1178 | 36% | 2022-02-12 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1065 | 51% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1030 | 69% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1227 | 1219 | 51% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1053 | 1002 | 57% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
| 946 | 1127 | 26% | 2021-06-27 | Won |
| 1202 | 1030 | 73% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1055 | 57% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 1121 | 1126 | 49% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1051 | 67% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1051 | 63% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1216 | 1017 | 76% | 2021-05-12 | Won |
| 939 | 1165 | 21% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1086.3 vs 1077.1 has a 51.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).