Dingoes At Damour
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (26 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 42
Defender wins (Vichy French): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 1074 | 37% | 2024-05-10 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1102 | 41% | 2024-04-23 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1148 | 42% | 2024-04-20 | Lost |
| 958 | 934 | 53% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1099 | 45% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1218 | 25% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
| 1073 | 976 | 64% | 2022-10-15 | Won |
| 1059 | 983 | 61% | 2022-10-03 | Won |
| 1057 | 1173 | 34% | 2022-09-07 | Won |
| 1176 | 972 | 76% | 2022-08-17 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1031 | 1181 | 30% | 2022-02-12 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1064 | 51% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1029 | 72% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1203 | 1219 | 48% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1053 | 989 | 59% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
| 1115 | 885 | 79% | 2021-06-27 | Won |
| 1192 | 1072 | 67% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1054 | 57% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 1120 | 1110 | 51% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1238 | 1144 | 63% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1144 | 48% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1218 | 1017 | 76% | 2021-05-12 | Won |
| 939 | 1190 | 19% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1085.7 vs 1072.1 has a 51.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).