Dingoes At Damour
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (26 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 42
Defender wins (Vichy French): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 1074 | 47% | 2024-05-10 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1074 | 53% | 2024-04-23 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1128 | 46% | 2024-04-20 | Lost |
| 960 | 875 | 62% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1102 | 46% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1180 | 29% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 875 | 74% | 2022-10-15 | Won |
| 1058 | 1051 | 51% | 2022-10-03 | Won |
| 1056 | 1173 | 34% | 2022-09-07 | Won |
| 1153 | 951 | 76% | 2022-08-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1044 | 49% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1002 | 1165 | 28% | 2022-02-12 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1063 | 48% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1007 | 69% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1215 | 1219 | 49% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1053 | 1010 | 56% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
| 999 | 991 | 51% | 2021-06-27 | Won |
| 1201 | 1082 | 66% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1211 | 35% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 1123 | 1100 | 53% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1195 | 805 | 90% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1109 | 805 | 85% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1221 | 1031 | 75% | 2021-05-12 | Won |
| 939 | 1143 | 24% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1080.5 vs 1048.6 has a 54.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).