The Vital Hours
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (18 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 32
Defender wins (German (SS)): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1128 | 994 | 68% | 2023-03-05 | Tied |
1012 | 993 | 53% | 2023-02-10 | Lost |
1078 | 1088 | 49% | 2023-02-10 | Won |
1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2022-09-18 | Lost |
1142 | 1112 | 54% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
1142 | 1172 | 46% | 2022-07-22 | Lost |
1192 | 994 | 76% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
881 | 1058 | 27% | 2021-10-06 | Tied |
1206 | 1068 | 69% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
959 | 1090 | 32% | 2021-09-15 | Lost |
974 | 980 | 49% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
911 | 987 | 39% | 2021-08-07 | Lost |
1284 | 1016 | 82% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
1300 | 906 | 91% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
1008 | 1138 | 32% | 2021-06-07 | Lost |
1303 | 1175 | 68% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
984 | 990 | 49% | 2021-04-26 | Lost |
916 | 1058 | 31% | 2021-04-07 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1085.8 vs 1052.4 has a 54.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).