The Vital Hours
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (27 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 47
Defender wins (German (SS)): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1023 | 40% | 2025-07-01 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1075 | 54% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2025-04-21 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1125 | 57% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1126 | 55% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 1021 | 927 | 63% | 2024-08-20 | Won |
| 731 | 1139 | 9% | 2024-08-14 | Lost |
| 950 | 1003 | 42% | 2023-03-05 | Tied |
| 1097 | 1112 | 48% | 2023-02-10 | Won |
| 1015 | 994 | 53% | 2023-02-10 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-09-18 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1138 | 55% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 2022-07-22 | Lost |
| 1139 | 731 | 91% | 2022-06-02 | Won |
| 1013 | 1003 | 51% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
| 879 | 1114 | 21% | 2021-10-06 | Tied |
| 1188 | 1001 | 75% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 860 | 1114 | 19% | 2021-09-15 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
| 881 | 1148 | 18% | 2021-08-07 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1021 | 76% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
| 1068 | 1059 | 51% | 2021-06-21 | Lost |
| 1340 | 904 | 92% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1100 | 1124 | 47% | 2021-06-07 | Lost |
| 1307 | 1103 | 76% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
| 925 | 1073 | 30% | 2021-04-26 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1114 | 57% | 2021-04-07 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1059.6 vs 1049.7 has a 51.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).