The Vital Hours
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (21 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 31
Defender wins (German (SS)): 43
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1133 | 1132 | 50% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
1011 | 881 | 68% | 2024-08-20 | Won |
1128 | 993 | 69% | 2023-03-05 | Tied |
1092 | 1096 | 49% | 2023-02-10 | Won |
1023 | 993 | 54% | 2023-02-10 | Lost |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-09-18 | Lost |
1129 | 1148 | 47% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
1129 | 1129 | 50% | 2022-07-22 | Lost |
1061 | 993 | 60% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
881 | 937 | 42% | 2021-10-06 | Tied |
1213 | 1055 | 71% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
955 | 1090 | 31% | 2021-09-15 | Lost |
972 | 981 | 49% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
911 | 982 | 40% | 2021-08-07 | Lost |
1214 | 996 | 78% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
1070 | 1048 | 53% | 2021-06-21 | Lost |
1310 | 903 | 91% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
982 | 1105 | 33% | 2021-06-07 | Lost |
1302 | 1131 | 73% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
933 | 1005 | 40% | 2021-04-26 | Lost |
1133 | 937 | 76% | 2021-04-07 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1079.5 vs 1029.7 has a 57.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).