The Vital Hours
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (23 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 32
Defender wins (German (SS)): 48
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2025-04-21 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1115 | 53% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1145 | 59% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
| 1010 | 937 | 60% | 2024-08-20 | Won |
| 1128 | 930 | 76% | 2023-03-05 | Tied |
| 1069 | 994 | 61% | 2023-02-10 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1109 | 48% | 2023-02-10 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-09-18 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1147 | 48% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
| 1133 | 1142 | 49% | 2022-07-22 | Lost |
| 927 | 930 | 50% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
| 877 | 1032 | 29% | 2021-10-06 | Tied |
| 1228 | 1032 | 76% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
| 966 | 1087 | 33% | 2021-09-15 | Lost |
| 952 | 982 | 46% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
| 881 | 1066 | 26% | 2021-08-07 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1029 | 75% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
| 1119 | 1082 | 55% | 2021-06-21 | Lost |
| 1316 | 903 | 92% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1038 | 1126 | 38% | 2021-06-07 | Lost |
| 1302 | 1106 | 76% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
| 957 | 1054 | 36% | 2021-04-26 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2021-04-07 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1085.7 vs 1045.4 has a 55.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).