The Vital Hours
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (24 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 33
Defender wins (German (SS)): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1092 | 1092 | 50% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
940 | 940 | 50% | 2025-04-21 | Lost |
1122 | 1115 | 51% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
1189 | 1145 | 56% | 2024-09-16 | Lost |
1010 | 913 | 64% | 2024-08-20 | Won |
1128 | 897 | 79% | 2023-03-05 | Tied |
1097 | 1100 | 50% | 2023-02-10 | Won |
1055 | 994 | 59% | 2023-02-10 | Lost |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-09-18 | Lost |
1122 | 1147 | 46% | 2022-08-05 | Won |
1122 | 1142 | 47% | 2022-07-22 | Lost |
970 | 897 | 60% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
877 | 748 | 68% | 2021-10-06 | Tied |
1204 | 1032 | 73% | 2021-09-23 | Lost |
993 | 1087 | 37% | 2021-09-15 | Lost |
952 | 982 | 46% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
881 | 1066 | 26% | 2021-08-07 | Lost |
1219 | 1029 | 75% | 2021-07-01 | Won |
1119 | 1128 | 49% | 2021-06-21 | Lost |
1310 | 903 | 91% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
1058 | 1106 | 43% | 2021-06-07 | Lost |
1302 | 1106 | 76% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
1017 | 973 | 56% | 2021-04-26 | Lost |
1189 | 748 | 93% | 2021-04-07 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1085.7 vs 1015.8 has a 59.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).