Three Bars of Chocolate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (10 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 18
Defender wins (German): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2024-11-17 | Won |
| 1044 | 947 | 64% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 1022 | 961 | 59% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
| 1173 | 1191 | 47% | 2022-10-02 | Won |
| 920 | 1018 | 36% | 2022-09-12 | Lost |
| 920 | 1018 | 36% | 2022-09-08 | Won |
| 1083 | 888 | 75% | 2022-01-30 | Won |
| 1310 | 1082 | 79% | 2022-01-20 | Lost |
| 881 | 1071 | 25% | 2021-10-26 | Tied |
| 1129 | 1184 | 42% | 2021-03-19 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1045.1 vs 1032.9 has a 51.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).