Three Bars of Chocolate
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (12 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 14
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 968 | 48% | 2024-11-17 | Won |
| 1036 | 947 | 63% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 1065 | 967 | 64% | 2023-02-07 | Won |
| 1162 | 1191 | 46% | 2022-10-02 | Won |
| 1043 | 996 | 57% | 2022-09-12 | Lost |
| 1043 | 996 | 57% | 2022-09-08 | Won |
| 918 | 879 | 56% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 879 | 1050 | 27% | 2022-02-15 | Lost |
| 1123 | 913 | 77% | 2022-01-30 | Won |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2022-01-20 | Lost |
| 879 | 1016 | 31% | 2021-10-26 | Tied |
| 1135 | 1152 | 48% | 2021-03-19 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1047.4 vs 1014.3 has a 54.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).