Autumn Approach
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (12 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 15
Defender wins (German): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 892 | 911 | 47% | 2024-04-02 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1115 | 40% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 873 | 1070 | 24% | 2023-02-05 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2022-10-26 | Won |
| 883 | 960 | 39% | 2022-09-21 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1203 | 37% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1173 | 31% | 2022-01-02 | Won |
| 1059 | 1047 | 52% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 938 | 61% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1065 | 51% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1160 | 937 | 78% | 2021-05-11 | Won |
| 1205 | 974 | 79% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1029.5 vs 1032.9 has a 49.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).