Autumn Approach
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (13 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 18
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2025-08-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 869 | 68% | 2024-04-02 | | Lost |
| 1078 | 1145 | 40% | 2023-07-28 | | Lost |
| 909 | 1077 | 28% | 2023-02-05 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 1035 | 47% | 2022-10-26 | | Won |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2022-09-21 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1187 | 43% | 2022-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2022-01-02 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2021-12-03 | | Lost |
| 998 | 975 | 53% | 2021-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1077 | 50% | 2021-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 928 | 76% | 2021-05-11 | | Won |
| 1140 | 968 | 73% | 2021-05-10 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1045.8 vs 1033.3 has a 51.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).