Autumn Approach
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (12 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 15
Defender wins (German): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 891 | 879 | 52% | 2024-04-02 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1149 | 33% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 890 | 1078 | 25% | 2023-02-05 | Lost |
| 973 | 1061 | 38% | 2022-10-26 | Won |
| 872 | 960 | 38% | 2022-09-21 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1209 | 36% | 2022-02-18 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1173 | 31% | 2022-01-02 | Won |
| 1050 | 1047 | 50% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 995 | 947 | 57% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1065 | 51% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1154 | 937 | 78% | 2021-05-11 | Won |
| 1223 | 968 | 81% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1024.7 vs 1039.4 has a 47.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).