Villy Muss Fallen! East
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (7 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (French): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1218 | 1213 | 51% | 2024-11-03 | Won |
| 1169 | 1119 | 57% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
| 1151 | 1133 | 53% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1131 | 48% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1033 | 769 | 82% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 884 | 915 | 46% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2021-10-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1081.9 vs 1037.4 has a 56.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).