Villy Muss Fallen! East
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (7 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (French): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1180 | 1213 | 45% | 2024-11-03 | Won |
| 1206 | 1009 | 76% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
| 1185 | 1114 | 60% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1113 | 35% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1010 | 798 | 77% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 953 | 916 | 55% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 1013 | 1006 | 51% | 2021-10-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1079.4 vs 1024.1 has a 57.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).