Villy Muss Fallen! East
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (6 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (French): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1204 | 1213 | 49% | 2024-11-03 | Won |
| 1158 | 1139 | 53% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
| 1139 | 1143 | 49% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1036 | 779 | 81% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 998 | 940 | 58% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 1044 | 1048 | 49% | 2021-10-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1096.5 vs 1043.7 has a 57.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).