Villy Muss Fallen! East
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (7 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (French): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1218 | 1213 | 51% | 2024-11-03 | Won |
| 1228 | 991 | 80% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
| 1184 | 1114 | 60% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 991 | 1125 | 32% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1065 | 778 | 84% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 891 | 917 | 46% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 1018 | 1001 | 52% | 2021-10-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1085 vs 1019.9 has a 59.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).