Bailey's Demise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (4 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 27
Defender wins (Japanese): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1021 | 50% | 2025-07-22 | Won |
| 1078 | 953 | 67% | 2025-05-25 | Won |
| 944 | 1107 | 28% | 2023-08-31 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1030 | 50% | 2023-08-05 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1018.3 vs 1027.8 has a 48.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).