Bailey's Demise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (3 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 26
Defender wins (Japanese): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1019 | 961 | 58% | 2025-05-25 | Won |
| 944 | 1089 | 30% | 2023-08-31 | Lost |
| 998 | 998 | 50% | 2023-08-05 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 987 vs 1016 has a 45.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).