Bailey's Demise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (3 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 25
Defender wins (Japanese): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2025-05-25 | Won |
| 934 | 1009 | 39% | 2023-08-31 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1128 | 50% | 2023-08-05 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1026.3 vs 1036.7 has a 48.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).