The Golden Mountain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (9 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 10
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2025-08-25 | Won |
| 911 | 925 | 48% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 954 | 962 | 49% | 2024-08-18 | Won |
| 1148 | 929 | 78% | 2022-11-28 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1284 | 26% | 2022-05-31 | Won |
| 983 | 1016 | 45% | 2022-05-17 | Won |
| 1112 | 998 | 66% | 2022-05-14 | Lost |
| 948 | 856 | 63% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 1022 | 1261 | 20% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1021.9 vs 1027.4 has a 49.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).