The Golden Mountain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (9 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 10
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 1065 | 50% | 2025-08-25 | Won |
| 910 | 925 | 48% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 953 | 956 | 50% | 2024-08-18 | Won |
| 1183 | 902 | 83% | 2022-11-28 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1284 | 26% | 2022-05-31 | Won |
| 952 | 1065 | 34% | 2022-05-17 | Won |
| 1098 | 974 | 67% | 2022-05-14 | Lost |
| 949 | 1171 | 22% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 1024 | 1256 | 21% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1026.3 vs 1066.4 has a 44.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).