The Golden Mountain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (9 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 7
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1106 | 1106 | 50% | 2025-08-25 | Won |
| 910 | 925 | 48% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 959 | 959 | 50% | 2024-08-18 | Won |
| 1191 | 877 | 86% | 2022-11-28 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1275 | 28% | 2022-05-31 | Won |
| 933 | 1106 | 27% | 2022-05-17 | Won |
| 1083 | 974 | 65% | 2022-05-14 | Lost |
| 946 | 972 | 46% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 972 | 1275 | 15% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1023.3 vs 1052.1 has a 45.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).