The Golden Mountain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (7 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 23
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 937 | 55% | 2024-08-18 | Won |
| 1114 | 902 | 77% | 2022-11-28 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1272 | 30% | 2022-05-31 | Won |
| 932 | 1159 | 21% | 2022-05-17 | Won |
| 1122 | 991 | 68% | 2022-05-14 | Lost |
| 955 | 902 | 58% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 973 | 1193 | 22% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1027.3 vs 1050.9 has a 46.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).