Flea Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (4 on the archive and 1 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Italian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 1056 | 42% | 2025-07-02 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2023-03-10 | Lost |
| 977 | 1272 | 15% | 2022-05-28 | Won |
| 977 | 1272 | 15% | 2022-05-28 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 991.5 vs 1153.8 has a 28.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).