The Trial
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (7 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 890 | 1034 | 30% | 2026-03-30 | Lost |
| 1002 | 989 | 52% | 2025-01-22 | Won |
| 1152 | 991 | 72% | 2024-12-03 | Won |
| 966 | 1084 | 34% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
| 1031 | 1015 | 52% | 2022-11-22 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1044 | 67% | 2022-07-30 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1040.6 vs 1033.6 has a 51.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).