Red Packets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 220 (4 on the archive and 216 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 125
Defender wins (Russian): 94
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 840 | 1038 | 24% | 2024-03-19 | Lost |
| 943 | 1107 | 28% | 2012-04-29 | Tied |
| 1025 | 1025 | 50% | 2001-08-10 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1117 | 50% | 1989-07-24 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 981.3 vs 1071.8 has a 37.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).