The Bet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7 (4 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Norwegian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2024-01-25 | Won |
| 1203 | 1139 | 59% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1281 | 1216 | 59% | 2023-04-24 | Lost |
| 1281 | 1216 | 59% | 2023-04-24 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1199 vs 1150.5 has a 56.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).