The Bet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7 (4 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Norwegian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 1030 | 44% | 2024-01-25 | Won |
| 1184 | 1143 | 56% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1226 | 1170 | 58% | 2023-04-24 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1170 | 58% | 2023-04-24 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1156.8 vs 1128.3 has a 54.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).