One Story Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (22 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 28
Defender wins (Russian): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 844 | 67% | 2025-11-30 | Lost |
| 930 | 1138 | 23% | 2025-07-03 | Won |
| 1143 | 1174 | 46% | 2025-06-22 | Won |
| 953 | 1100 | 30% | 2024-11-22 | Lost |
| 731 | 1257 | 5% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 918 | 1011 | 37% | 2024-10-04 | Lost |
| 1016 | 975 | 56% | 2024-05-19 | Won |
| 1038 | 990 | 57% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1083 | 998 | 62% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1178 | 35% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1074 | 48% | 2023-12-30 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1042 | 51% | 2023-12-05 | Won |
| 875 | 1086 | 23% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 780 | 1013 | 21% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1053 | 44% | 2023-09-12 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1143 | 34% | 2023-08-07 | Lost |
| 981 | 944 | 55% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1037 | 49% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1072 | 1173 | 36% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1072 | 1024 | 57% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1160 | 1113 | 57% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
| 1108 | 1143 | 45% | 2023-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1003.5 vs 1068.6 has a 40.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).