One Story Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (20 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 28
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 1187 | 19% | 2025-07-03 | Won |
| 1122 | 1104 | 53% | 2025-06-22 | Won |
| 948 | 1058 | 35% | 2024-11-22 | Lost |
| 748 | 1277 | 5% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 876 | 1018 | 31% | 2024-10-04 | Lost |
| 1024 | 940 | 62% | 2024-05-19 | Won |
| 1073 | 1076 | 50% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1095 | 44% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1063 | 60% | 2023-12-30 | Lost |
| 904 | 1046 | 31% | 2023-12-05 | Won |
| 892 | 1085 | 25% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 768 | 970 | 24% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2023-09-12 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1141 | 32% | 2023-08-07 | Lost |
| 981 | 958 | 53% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1055 | 51% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1086 | 1039 | 57% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1086 | 1039 | 57% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1189 | 1064 | 67% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
| 1168 | 1141 | 54% | 2023-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1007.1 vs 1065.3 has a 41.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).