One Story Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (20 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 28
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 961 | 1194 | 21% | 2025-07-03 | Won |
| 1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2025-06-22 | Won |
| 949 | 1060 | 35% | 2024-11-22 | Lost |
| 747 | 1220 | 6% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 877 | 1048 | 27% | 2024-10-04 | Lost |
| 1016 | 940 | 61% | 2024-05-19 | Won |
| 1044 | 1041 | 50% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1107 | 42% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2023-12-30 | Lost |
| 905 | 1045 | 31% | 2023-12-05 | Won |
| 892 | 1086 | 25% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 767 | 1048 | 17% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2023-09-12 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1146 | 31% | 2023-08-07 | Lost |
| 981 | 950 | 54% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1032 | 50% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1098 | 941 | 71% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1098 | 1039 | 58% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1182 | 1020 | 72% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
| 1169 | 1146 | 53% | 2023-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 999.6 vs 1062.6 has a 41.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).