One Story Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (23 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 33
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 1035 | 52% | 2026-05-22 | | Won |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2025-11-30 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1085 | 36% | 2025-07-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2025-06-22 | | Won |
| 962 | 1147 | 26% | 2024-11-22 | | Lost |
| 732 | 1258 | 5% | 2024-10-14 | | Lost |
| 927 | 1018 | 37% | 2024-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1004 | 984 | 53% | 2024-05-19 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2024-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2024-02-02 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 1200 | 32% | 2024-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1078 | 44% | 2023-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2023-12-05 | | Won |
| 890 | 1017 | 32% | 2023-10-05 | | Lost |
| 780 | 977 | 24% | 2023-09-28 | | Lost |
| 1070 | 974 | 63% | 2023-09-12 | A | Lost |
| 1015 | 1252 | 20% | 2023-08-07 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1149 | 28% | 2023-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2023-04-11 | | Won |
| 1044 | 1000 | 56% | 2023-03-04 | | Won |
| 1044 | 1063 | 47% | 2023-03-01 | | Won |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2023-01-21 | | Won |
| 1045 | 1252 | 23% | 2023-01-15 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 999.8 vs 1066.9 has a 40.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).