One Story Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (13 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1073 | 1107 | 45% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
1028 | 1149 | 33% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
911 | 1000 | 37% | 2023-12-05 | Won |
858 | 1040 | 26% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
806 | 1168 | 11% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
1020 | 1004 | 52% | 2023-09-12 | Lost |
1026 | 1172 | 30% | 2023-08-07 | Lost |
982 | 1019 | 45% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
985 | 1004 | 47% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
1070 | 1056 | 52% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
1070 | 999 | 60% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
936 | 1093 | 29% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
1209 | 1172 | 55% | 2023-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 998 vs 1075.6 has a 39.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).