Down by the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (18 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/German (SS)): 21
Defender wins (Russian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 1163 | 25% | 2025-05-14 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1168 | 52% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 910 | 1182 | 17% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1121 | 1110 | 52% | 2024-02-10 | Lost |
| 968 | 1061 | 37% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1064 | 66% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 1022 | 851 | 73% | 2024-01-17 | Won |
| 1181 | 898 | 84% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
| 961 | 1052 | 37% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 1031 | 995 | 55% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1039 | 58% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 870 | 894 | 47% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 870 | 1064 | 25% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1048 | 49% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1096 | 1329 | 21% | 2023-02-24 | Won |
| 985 | 968 | 52% | 2023-02-04 | Lost |
| 1182 | 995 | 75% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1039.8 vs 1054.9 has a 47.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).