Down by the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (19 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/German (SS)): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 968 | 1100 | 32% | 2025-05-14 | Lost |
| 1236 | 1175 | 59% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1048 | 84% | 2024-05-18 | Won |
| 904 | 1236 | 13% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1122 | 1111 | 52% | 2024-02-10 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1044 | 53% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1236 | 1051 | 74% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 1030 | 850 | 74% | 2024-01-17 | Won |
| 1183 | 893 | 84% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
| 954 | 1051 | 36% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 1031 | 805 | 79% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1040 | 57% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 941 | 895 | 57% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 941 | 1122 | 26% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2023-02-24 | Won |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2023-02-04 | Lost |
| 1236 | 805 | 92% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1074.7 vs 1035.7 has a 55.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).