Down by the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (19 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/German (SS)): 28
Defender wins (Russian): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 1162 | 26% | 2025-05-14 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1175 | 45% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 1330 | 999 | 87% | 2024-05-18 | Won |
| 914 | 1141 | 21% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1122 | 1111 | 52% | 2024-02-10 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1063 | 50% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1070 | 60% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 999 | 850 | 70% | 2024-01-17 | Won |
| 1198 | 893 | 85% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
| 954 | 1051 | 36% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1058 | 46% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1040 | 57% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 890 | 894 | 49% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 890 | 1123 | 21% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1047 | 49% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2023-02-24 | Won |
| 1036 | 947 | 63% | 2023-02-04 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1058 | 62% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1057.6 vs 1059 has a 49.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).