Down by the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (18 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/German (SS)): 21
Defender wins (Russian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 1141 | 30% | 2025-05-14 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1141 | 57% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 909 | 1189 | 17% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1118 | 1121 | 50% | 2024-02-10 | Lost |
| 968 | 1019 | 43% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1046 | 69% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 1022 | 852 | 73% | 2024-01-17 | Won |
| 1199 | 869 | 87% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
| 910 | 1080 | 27% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 1030 | 748 | 84% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1039 | 57% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 856 | 894 | 45% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 856 | 1128 | 17% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 970 | 927 | 56% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1109 | 1310 | 24% | 2023-02-24 | Won |
| 973 | 1017 | 44% | 2023-02-04 | Lost |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1033.9 vs 1021.1 has a 51.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).