Down by the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (16 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1148 | 1108 | 56% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 902 | 1148 | 20% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1120 | 1094 | 54% | 2024-02-10 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1019 | 50% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1148 | 994 | 71% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 1140 | 854 | 84% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
| 953 | 1087 | 32% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 1045 | 948 | 64% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1043 | 1100 | 42% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1020 | 58% | 2023-05-22 | Lost |
| 885 | 894 | 49% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 885 | 1064 | 26% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 920 | 944 | 47% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1082 | 1310 | 21% | 2023-02-24 | Won |
| 1018 | 948 | 60% | 2023-02-04 | Lost |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1033.3 vs 1030 has a 50.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).