Death at the Cement Plant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (25 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 896 | 1039 | 31% | 2026-08-26 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1183 | 50% | 2025-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1131 | 42% | 2024-10-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2024-07-20 | | Won |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2024-06-05 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2023-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2023-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1435 | 15% | 2023-06-11 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2023-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1219 | 25% | 2023-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1145 | 50% | 2023-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-04-08 | | Won |
| 1162 | 1080 | 62% | 2023-03-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1170 | 27% | 2023-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1004 | 930 | 60% | 2023-03-02 | | Won |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2023-03-02 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1040 | 53% | 2023-03-01 | | Won |
| 1021 | 1001 | 53% | 2023-02-11 | | Won |
| 790 | 1141 | 12% | 2023-02-08 | | Lost |
| 973 | 1154 | 26% | 2023-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2023-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 1140 | 39% | 2023-01-20 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1226 | 24% | 2023-01-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1040.9 vs 1102.9 has a 41.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).