Death at the Cement Plant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (22 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Russian): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1149 | 35% | 2024-10-17 | Lost |
| 1066 | 966 | 64% | 2024-07-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 865 | 72% | 2024-06-05 | Won |
| 1110 | 1045 | 59% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1008 | 977 | 54% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1405 | 18% | 2023-06-11 | Tied |
| 1030 | 1302 | 17% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1302 | 24% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1102 | 39% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1098 | 37% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1138 | 1024 | 66% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1166 | 1310 | 30% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 938 | 1047 | 35% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1004 | 939 | 59% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1058 | 993 | 59% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1025 | 1004 | 53% | 2023-02-11 | Won |
| 1011 | 1009 | 50% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1302 | 23% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1108 | 40% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 983 | 1149 | 28% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1058.5 vs 1100.8 has a 43.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).