Death at the Cement Plant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (24 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1218 | 1085 | 68% | 2025-06-21 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1151 | 42% | 2024-10-17 | Lost |
| 1153 | 884 | 82% | 2024-07-20 | Won |
| 1031 | 1005 | 54% | 2024-06-05 | Won |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1032 | 976 | 58% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1430 | 15% | 2023-06-11 | Tied |
| 1175 | 1234 | 42% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1234 | 24% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1129 | 51% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1100 | 40% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1162 | 1019 | 69% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 989 | 1220 | 21% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1004 | 930 | 60% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 999 | 1048 | 43% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1059 | 1063 | 49% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1003 | 1146 | 31% | 2023-02-11 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2023-02-08 | Lost |
| 1065 | 943 | 67% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1234 | 41% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1127 | 38% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1174 | 34% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1066.5 vs 1099.3 has a 45.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).