Death at the Cement Plant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (24 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 37
Defender wins (Russian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1180 | 1075 | 65% | 2025-06-21 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1131 | 46% | 2024-10-17 | Lost |
| 1065 | 927 | 69% | 2024-07-20 | Won |
| 1032 | 1192 | 28% | 2024-06-05 | Won |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1022 | 59% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1416 | 16% | 2023-06-11 | Tied |
| 1059 | 1333 | 17% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1333 | 15% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1124 | 42% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1100 | 47% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1152 | 1028 | 67% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 990 | 1208 | 22% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1004 | 939 | 59% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1035 | 1049 | 48% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1059 | 1018 | 56% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 996 | 982 | 52% | 2023-02-11 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2023-02-08 | Lost |
| 986 | 1021 | 45% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1112 | 40% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1196 | 26% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 1090 | 1104 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1050.5 vs 1119.1 has a 40.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).