Death at the Cement Plant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (24 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1204 | 1044 | 72% | 2025-06-21 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1131 | 46% | 2024-10-17 | Lost |
| 1065 | 998 | 60% | 2024-07-20 | Won |
| 1031 | 995 | 55% | 2024-06-05 | Won |
| 1107 | 1013 | 63% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1009 | 55% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1413 | 16% | 2023-06-11 | Tied |
| 1093 | 1329 | 20% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1329 | 15% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1109 | 43% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1100 | 42% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1146 | 1036 | 65% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 990 | 1269 | 17% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1004 | 939 | 59% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1044 | 1049 | 49% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1059 | 1010 | 57% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 995 | 995 | 50% | 2023-02-11 | Won |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2023-02-08 | Lost |
| 985 | 968 | 52% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1329 | 21% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1111 | 40% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 994 | 1182 | 25% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1048.7 vs 1110 has a 41.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).