Breakthrough in the Arctic
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (18 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 21
Defender wins (German): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
916 | 885 | 54% | 2024-03-04 | Lost |
1087 | 1135 | 43% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
901 | 960 | 42% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
916 | 1058 | 31% | 2023-12-23 | Won |
982 | 1164 | 26% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
1226 | 1317 | 37% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
951 | 984 | 45% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
1188 | 949 | 80% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
1181 | 1300 | 34% | 2023-06-10 | Tied |
1004 | 1020 | 48% | 2023-03-22 | Won |
1127 | 955 | 73% | 2023-03-20 | Won |
1025 | 1300 | 17% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
1360 | 1016 | 88% | 2023-03-07 | Won |
1092 | 1192 | 36% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
807 | 1188 | 10% | 2023-02-22 | Lost |
916 | 1058 | 31% | 2023-02-16 | Lost |
1188 | 807 | 90% | 2023-02-13 | Won |
1300 | 1093 | 77% | 2023-01-11 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1064.8 vs 1076.7 has a 48.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).