Down Number Two Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 20
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1078 | 49% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 946 | 1030 | 38% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-02-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1155 | 50% | 2023-11-18 | Won |
| 1070 | 1163 | 37% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1189 | 25% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1096 | 50% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 1159 | 1030 | 68% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 957 | 1030 | 40% | 2023-01-17 | Won |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1046.1 vs 1072.6 has a 46.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).