Down Number Two Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 20
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1093 | 1083 | 51% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 949 | 805 | 70% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-02-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1155 | 43% | 2023-11-18 | Won |
| 1047 | 1190 | 31% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1153 | 29% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1107 | 50% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 1205 | 805 | 91% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1030 | 960 | 60% | 2023-01-17 | Won |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1054.2 vs 1026 has a 54.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).