Down Number Two Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 1067 | 59% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 943 | 977 | 45% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-02-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1155 | 47% | 2023-11-18 | Won |
| 1046 | 1162 | 34% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 999 | 1241 | 20% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 1170 | 977 | 75% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 973 | 1017 | 44% | 2023-01-17 | Won |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1051.7 vs 1069.1 has a 47.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).