Down Number Two Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (11 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 21
Defender wins (Japanese): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 1110 | 34% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 948 | 906 | 56% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-02-24 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1155 | 47% | 2023-11-18 | Won |
| 1040 | 1170 | 32% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1159 | 30% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1108 | 50% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 1212 | 906 | 85% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 984 | 1002 | 47% | 2023-01-17 | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1036.5 vs 1042.3 has a 49.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).