Hot Toddy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (17 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (British/American): 24
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British/American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 942 | 953 | 48% | 2025-03-16 | Won |
| 1123 | 1078 | 56% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 946 | 1058 | 34% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 991 | 1070 | 39% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
| 1189 | 1022 | 72% | 2023-10-03 | Won |
| 1096 | 1093 | 50% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2023-05-24 | Won |
| 1004 | 1028 | 47% | 2023-04-26 | Won |
| 940 | 1058 | 34% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 951 | 950 | 50% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1095 | 1257 | 28% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1131 | 1091 | 56% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 881 | 893 | 48% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 947 | 1036 | 37% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
| 931 | 970 | 44% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2023-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1022.7 vs 1057.5 has a 45.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).