Hot Toddy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (15 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (British/American): 10
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British/American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 989 | 57% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 1000 | 993 | 51% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
| 1041 | 1139 | 36% | 2023-10-03 | Won |
| 1111 | 1000 | 65% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
| 1118 | 1272 | 29% | 2023-05-24 | Won |
| 996 | 1093 | 36% | 2023-04-26 | Won |
| 1024 | 989 | 55% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 1006 | 961 | 56% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1098 | 1148 | 43% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1133 | 1036 | 64% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 952 | 1019 | 40% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 884 | 865 | 53% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 920 | 983 | 41% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
| 932 | 971 | 44% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1036 | 1122 | 38% | 2023-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1019.3 vs 1038.7 has a 47.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).