Hot Toddy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (17 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (British/American): 10
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British/American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 946 | 929 | 52% | 2025-03-16 | Won |
| 1128 | 1067 | 59% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 943 | 748 | 75% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 985 | 1046 | 41% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
| 1241 | 977 | 82% | 2023-10-03 | Won |
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
| 1109 | 1310 | 24% | 2023-05-24 | Won |
| 1005 | 1041 | 45% | 2023-04-26 | Won |
| 940 | 748 | 75% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 906 | 960 | 42% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1095 | 1266 | 27% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 892 | 892 | 50% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
| 932 | 968 | 45% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2023-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1028.9 vs 1009.7 has a 52.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).