Hot Toddy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (17 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (British/American): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British/American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 942 | 949 | 49% | 2025-03-16 | Won |
| 1089 | 1109 | 47% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 948 | 980 | 45% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 991 | 1007 | 48% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
| 1177 | 976 | 76% | 2023-10-03 | Won |
| 1107 | 1107 | 50% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
| 1157 | 1252 | 37% | 2023-05-24 | Won |
| 1006 | 1045 | 44% | 2023-04-26 | Won |
| 939 | 980 | 44% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 968 | 55% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1087 | 1256 | 27% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1144 | 1072 | 60% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 995 | 1054 | 42% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 896 | 881 | 52% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1018 | 51% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
| 931 | 970 | 44% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1055 | 1123 | 40% | 2023-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1028.6 vs 1043.9 has a 47.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).