Hot Toddy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (17 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (British/American): 10
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British/American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 946 | 977 | 46% | 2025-03-16 | Won |
| 1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 946 | 1277 | 13% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 991 | 1045 | 42% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
| 1186 | 1009 | 73% | 2023-10-03 | Won |
| 1096 | 1093 | 50% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
| 1096 | 1329 | 21% | 2023-05-24 | Won |
| 1004 | 1036 | 45% | 2023-04-26 | Won |
| 940 | 1277 | 13% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 909 | 946 | 45% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1095 | 1220 | 33% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1143 | 1098 | 56% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 892 | 892 | 50% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 948 | 985 | 45% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
| 931 | 970 | 44% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2023-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1016.1 vs 1081.4 has a 40.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).