Hell's Headache
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (25 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 26
Defender wins (German): 47
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1040 | 46% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1132 | 1036 | 63% | 2024-04-13 | Tied |
| 1022 | 1119 | 36% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
| 1248 | 1053 | 75% | 2023-09-09 | Lost |
| 940 | 1036 | 37% | 2023-07-30 | Won |
| 1042 | 1009 | 55% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1036 | 1030 | 51% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1048 | 1248 | 24% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1084 | 41% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1086 | 43% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1141 | 52% | 2023-04-14 | Lost |
| 873 | 878 | 49% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-04-02 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1152 | 48% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1052 | 77% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1029 | 1336 | 15% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1132 | 68% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1228 | 1027 | 76% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 1189 | 1036 | 71% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 856 | 897 | 44% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1116 | 40% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 869 | 994 | 33% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 1009 | 1043 | 45% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1029 | 1117 | 38% | | Lost |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1067.8 vs 1074.8 has a 48.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).