Hell's Headache
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (25 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 47
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1040 | 46% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1132 | 748 | 90% | 2024-04-13 | Tied |
| 1041 | 1119 | 39% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
| 1241 | 1053 | 75% | 2023-09-09 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1047 | 46% | 2023-07-30 | Won |
| 1042 | 1009 | 55% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 748 | 1030 | 16% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1090 | 1241 | 30% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1084 | 44% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1086 | 43% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1141 | 52% | 2023-04-14 | Lost |
| 892 | 878 | 52% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-04-02 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1264 | 973 | 84% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1029 | 1310 | 17% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1132 | 68% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1204 | 1027 | 73% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 856 | 897 | 44% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1116 | 40% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 869 | 994 | 33% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 1009 | 1043 | 45% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1029 | 1131 | 36% | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1062.1 vs 1047.5 has a 52.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).