Hell's Headache
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (25 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 26
Defender wins (German): 47
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 941 | 1030 | 37% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1094 | 881 | 77% | 2024-04-13 | Tied |
| 1069 | 1031 | 55% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
| 1095 | 1029 | 59% | 2023-09-09 | Lost |
| 892 | 1092 | 24% | 2023-07-30 | Won |
| 1042 | 941 | 64% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 895 | 1015 | 33% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1099 | 1095 | 51% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 944 | 69% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1083 | 41% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1247 | 1191 | 58% | 2023-04-14 | Lost |
| 848 | 1022 | 27% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-04-02 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1153 | 50% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1026 | 77% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1003 | 1259 | 19% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1227 | 51% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1034 | 1023 | 52% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 913 | 1148 | 21% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1024 | 47% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 953 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 991 | 1037 | 43% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1003 | 1135 | 32% | | Lost |
| 1135 | 841 | 84% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1041.4 vs 1052.6 has a 48.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).