Hell's Headache
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (24 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 47
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 1045 | 39% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1085 | 1027 | 58% | 2024-04-13 | Tied |
| 1060 | 1135 | 39% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
| 1102 | 1055 | 57% | 2023-09-09 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1032 | 67% | 2023-07-30 | Won |
| 1030 | 969 | 59% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1027 | 1031 | 49% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1091 | 1102 | 48% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1042 | 53% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1198 | 39% | 2023-04-14 | Lost |
| 890 | 878 | 52% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-04-02 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1125 | 46% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1241 | 952 | 84% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1017 | 1219 | 24% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1241 | 1139 | 64% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 940 | 897 | 56% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1132 | 41% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 992 | 995 | 50% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 1008 | 1056 | 43% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1017 | 1074 | 42% | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1069.3 vs 1053.5 has a 52.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).