Hell's Headache
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (25 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 47
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1025 | 1045 | 47% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1143 | 764 | 90% | 2024-04-13 | Tied |
| 1036 | 1118 | 38% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
| 1189 | 1054 | 69% | 2023-09-09 | Lost |
| 964 | 1079 | 34% | 2023-07-30 | Won |
| 1029 | 1025 | 51% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 764 | 1031 | 18% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1091 | 1189 | 36% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1048 | 48% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1098 | 42% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1154 | 46% | 2023-04-14 | Lost |
| 892 | 878 | 52% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-04-02 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1242 | 1020 | 78% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1029 | 1329 | 15% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1242 | 1144 | 64% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1204 | 1027 | 73% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 1158 | 764 | 91% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 870 | 897 | 46% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1124 | 40% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 898 | 994 | 37% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 1007 | 1039 | 45% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1029 | 1090 | 41% | | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1054.2 vs 1048.1 has a 50.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).