Hell's Headache
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (24 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 47
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 1045 | 43% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1131 | 1023 | 65% | 2024-04-13 | Tied |
| 1029 | 1135 | 35% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
| 1159 | 1055 | 65% | 2023-09-09 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1031 | 49% | 2023-07-30 | Won |
| 1030 | 998 | 55% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1023 | 1031 | 49% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1091 | 1159 | 40% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 1029 | 901 | 68% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1042 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1213 | 37% | 2023-04-14 | Lost |
| 891 | 878 | 52% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-04-02 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1125 | 55% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1220 | 963 | 81% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1017 | 1251 | 21% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1140 | 61% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 940 | 897 | 56% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1135 | 38% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1005 | 995 | 51% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 1009 | 1056 | 43% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1017 | 1039 | 47% | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1021 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1064.5 vs 1051.6 has a 51.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).