Shoot or Shovel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (20 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 34
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 1034 | 45% | 2026-04-08 | Lost |
| 994 | 1097 | 36% | 2025-09-29 | Won |
| 1199 | 960 | 80% | 2025-08-19 | Won |
| 1184 | 1172 | 52% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1062 | 46% | 2025-06-06 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1002 | 73% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 869 | 917 | 43% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 869 | 878 | 49% | 2024-12-29 | Won |
| 1077 | 1024 | 58% | 2024-12-01 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1029 | 50% | 2024-08-02 | Won |
| 1211 | 1097 | 66% | 2024-07-01 | Lost |
| 983 | 974 | 51% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 1026 | 949 | 61% | 2024-05-11 | Lost |
| 1012 | 843 | 73% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1003 | 1263 | 18% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 1056 | 952 | 65% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1063 | 1054 | 51% | 2023-10-19 | Lost |
| 869 | 999 | 32% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 1189 | 1073 | 66% | 2023-07-01 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1044.8 vs 1025 has a 52.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).