Shoot or Shovel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (18 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 33
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 1186 | 43% | 2025-09-29 | Won |
| 1212 | 1009 | 76% | 2025-08-19 | Won |
| 1183 | 1196 | 48% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1048 | 48% | 2025-06-06 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1002 | 75% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 908 | 917 | 49% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 869 | 878 | 49% | 2024-12-29 | Won |
| 1077 | 1028 | 57% | 2024-12-01 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1082 | 40% | 2024-08-02 | Won |
| 1172 | 1186 | 48% | 2024-07-01 | Lost |
| 982 | 1063 | 39% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 1002 | 889 | 66% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1003 | 1185 | 26% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1188 | 1211 | 47% | 2023-10-19 | Lost |
| 908 | 1021 | 34% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 1202 | 1094 | 65% | 2023-07-01 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1122 | 40% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1062.8 vs 1062.1 has a 50.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).