Shoot or Shovel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (18 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 33
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1123 | 1073 | 57% | 2025-09-29 | Won |
| 1196 | 1017 | 74% | 2025-08-19 | Won |
| 1183 | 1145 | 55% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 1037 | 998 | 56% | 2025-06-06 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1031 | 66% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 882 | 917 | 45% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 869 | 878 | 49% | 2024-12-29 | Won |
| 1077 | 1030 | 57% | 2024-12-01 | Lost |
| 996 | 1082 | 38% | 2024-08-02 | Won |
| 1105 | 1073 | 55% | 2024-07-01 | Lost |
| 982 | 1051 | 40% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 1002 | 889 | 66% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1028 | 1184 | 29% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 1061 | 937 | 67% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1203 | 1181 | 53% | 2023-10-19 | Lost |
| 882 | 1043 | 28% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 1193 | 1091 | 64% | 2023-07-01 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1055.7 vs 1040.3 has a 52.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).