Bowden's Wood
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (23 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 27
Defender wins (American): 28
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1102 | 1113 | 48% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1212 | 40% | 2024-09-22 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1025 | 48% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1052 | 56% | 2024-08-24 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1082 | 45% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 1206 | 970 | 80% | 2024-07-03 | Won |
| 1031 | 950 | 61% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1011 | 50% | 2024-05-08 | Won |
| 1086 | 1196 | 35% | 2024-03-21 | Lost |
| 924 | 881 | 56% | 2024-03-05 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1088 | 40% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1087 | 42% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1037 | 68% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 929 | 1123 | 25% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 875 | 997 | 33% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 1206 | 1050 | 71% | 2024-01-04 | Won |
| 1212 | 1078 | 68% | 2023-12-29 | Won |
| 1010 | 987 | 53% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1223 | 24% | 2023-10-14 | Lost |
| 949 | 1122 | 27% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1206 | 950 | 81% | 2023-08-17 | Won |
| 1189 | 1001 | 75% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
| 950 | 1149 | 24% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1061.9 vs 1060.2 has a 50.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).