Bowden's Wood
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (23 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 19
Defender wins (American): 36
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1122 | 1113 | 51% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1170 | 46% | 2024-09-22 | Lost |
| 970 | 928 | 56% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1044 | 62% | 2024-08-24 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1084 | 45% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 1170 | 935 | 79% | 2024-07-03 | Won |
| 1030 | 977 | 58% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 970 | 995 | 46% | 2024-05-08 | Won |
| 1085 | 1241 | 29% | 2024-03-21 | Lost |
| 900 | 900 | 50% | 2024-03-05 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1070 | 41% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1087 | 49% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1026 | 67% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 885 | 1199 | 14% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 885 | 990 | 35% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 1170 | 1049 | 67% | 2024-01-04 | Won |
| 1168 | 1058 | 65% | 2023-12-29 | Won |
| 1041 | 1006 | 55% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1121 | 34% | 2023-10-14 | Lost |
| 948 | 1110 | 28% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1170 | 977 | 75% | 2023-08-17 | Won |
| 1204 | 1032 | 73% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
| 977 | 1148 | 27% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1054.7 vs 1054.8 has a 49.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).