Bowden's Wood
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (24 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (American): 36
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1023 | 51% | 2026-04-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1113 | 46% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1199 | 43% | 2024-09-22 | Lost |
| 999 | 999 | 50% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
| 967 | 1087 | 33% | 2024-08-24 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1029 | 52% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 1172 | 982 | 75% | 2024-07-03 | Won |
| 1031 | 1099 | 40% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 999 | 1027 | 46% | 2024-05-08 | Won |
| 1087 | 1189 | 36% | 2024-03-21 | Lost |
| 924 | 869 | 58% | 2024-03-05 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1088 | 47% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
| 974 | 1087 | 34% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1061 | 62% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 920 | 1063 | 31% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 875 | 984 | 35% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 1172 | 1050 | 67% | 2024-01-04 | Won |
| 1154 | 1135 | 53% | 2023-12-29 | Won |
| 1003 | 993 | 51% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1223 | 23% | 2023-10-14 | Lost |
| 949 | 1120 | 27% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1099 | 60% | 2023-08-17 | Won |
| 1218 | 985 | 79% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1149 | 43% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1052.5 vs 1068.9 has a 47.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).