Derrick's Show
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (4 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 2
Defender wins (Japanese): 3
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 0
Defender wins (Japanese): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2025-11-09 | | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2024-09-01 | | Lost |
| 939 | 1017 | 39% | 2024-03-24 | A | Lost |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2023-06-25 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1075 vs 978 has a 63.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).