Not Fade Away
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (17 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 26
Defender wins (German): 41
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2025-11-03 | Won |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2025-08-16 | Won |
| 1151 | 967 | 74% | 2025-02-13 | Won |
| 1190 | 1112 | 61% | 2024-11-13 | Won |
| 1040 | 1112 | 40% | 2024-09-25 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1029 | 52% | 2024-05-13 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1037 | 74% | 2024-04-04 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1028 | 57% | 2024-03-29 | Won |
| 999 | 1075 | 39% | 2024-03-02 | Won |
| 954 | 1051 | 36% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1092 | 59% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1099 | 66% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1044 | 59% | 2024-01-11 | Won |
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2023-12-04 | Lost |
| 1002 | 997 | 51% | 2023-10-28 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1055 | 45% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 913 | 952 | 44% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1070.8 vs 1051.2 has a 52.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).