Bridge Over the River Queen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (16 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 20
Defender wins (German): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 1
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1116 | 45% | 2025-05-26 | Won |
| 964 | 1231 | 18% | 2025-02-05 | Won |
| 981 | 1063 | 38% | 2025-01-16 | Won |
| 1238 | 1088 | 70% | 2025-01-07 | Won |
| 1077 | 1045 | 55% | 2024-10-07 | Lost |
| 870 | 891 | 47% | 2024-09-26 | Won |
| 814 | 834 | 47% | 2024-09-21 | Lost |
| 1015 | 793 | 78% | 2024-08-27 | Won |
| 956 | 767 | 75% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 1141 | 1145 | 49% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2024-06-30 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1106 | 43% | 2024-05-14 | Won |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2024-03-28 | Won |
| 982 | 1012 | 46% | 2024-02-17 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1009 | 62% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1028.4 vs 1021.5 has a 51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).