Bridge Over the River Queen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (20 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 22
Defender wins (German): 21
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 1
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 956 | 891 | 59% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 879 | 1002 | 33% | 2025-06-29 | Won |
| 988 | 1073 | 38% | 2025-05-26 | Won |
| 892 | 892 | 50% | 2025-04-25 | Won |
| 938 | 994 | 42% | 2025-02-05 | Won |
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2025-01-16 | Won |
| 1184 | 1215 | 46% | 2025-01-07 | Won |
| 1175 | 1202 | 46% | 2024-10-08 | Lost |
| 870 | 892 | 47% | 2024-09-26 | Won |
| 756 | 831 | 39% | 2024-09-21 | Lost |
| 1065 | 778 | 84% | 2024-08-27 | Won |
| 1018 | 780 | 80% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 1176 | 1155 | 53% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
| 1283 | 961 | 86% | 2024-07-13 | Won |
| 1039 | 1027 | 52% | 2024-06-30 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1125 | 46% | 2024-05-14 | Won |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2024-03-28 | Won |
| 956 | 1075 | 34% | 2024-02-17 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1011 | 61% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1028.8 vs 1004.5 has a 53.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).