The Rat House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (7 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 18
Defender wins (German (SS)): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 755 | 1080 | 13% | 2026-02-10 | | Lost |
| 999 | 841 | 71% | 2025-05-25 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1107 | 43% | 2025-01-25 | | Won |
| 1133 | 947 | 74% | 2024-06-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1001 | 50% | 2024-04-13 | | Lost |
| 902 | 1000 | 36% | 2024-03-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1149 | 30% | 2024-03-03 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 977.7 vs 1017.9 has a 44.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).