The Rat House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (7 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German (SS)): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 755 | 1098 | 12% | 2026-02-10 | | Lost |
| 999 | 841 | 71% | 2025-05-25 | | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2025-01-25 | | Won |
| 1125 | 947 | 74% | 2024-06-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1001 | 50% | 2024-04-13 | | Lost |
| 902 | 1000 | 36% | 2024-03-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2024-03-03 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 961.9 vs 1027.9 has a 40.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).