D-Day on the Ising River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (1 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Philippine (P.A.)): 3
Defender wins (Japanese): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1111 | 1064 | 57% | 2025-08-23 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1111 vs 1064 has a 56.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).