Pipkorn's Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (16 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 992 | 49% | 2025-12-01 | Won |
| 1137 | 1140 | 50% | 2025-07-17 | Won |
| 992 | 940 | 57% | 2025-06-08 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1234 | 30% | 2025-04-02 | Lost |
| 941 | 941 | 50% | 2025-03-01 | Won |
| 941 | 917 | 53% | 2025-01-15 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1167 | 54% | 2024-12-02 | Lost |
| 1052 | 884 | 72% | 2024-11-10 | Lost |
| 1023 | 941 | 62% | 2024-09-02 | Won |
| 1023 | 1188 | 28% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 1206 | 999 | 77% | 2024-06-18 | Lost |
| 969 | 999 | 46% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1242 | 1190 | 57% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 955 | 1052 | 36% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 780 | 999 | 22% | 2024-05-02 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1031 | 72% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1045.1 vs 1038.4 has a 50.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).