Pipkorn's Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (13 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 21
Defender wins (Russian): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 940 | 53% | 2025-06-08 | Lost |
| 890 | 890 | 50% | 2025-03-01 | Won |
| 890 | 917 | 46% | 2025-01-15 | Lost |
| 967 | 1141 | 27% | 2024-12-02 | Lost |
| 1176 | 927 | 81% | 2024-11-10 | Lost |
| 1123 | 890 | 79% | 2024-09-02 | Won |
| 1123 | 1191 | 40% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 1257 | 1041 | 78% | 2024-06-18 | Lost |
| 969 | 1041 | 40% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1290 | 1152 | 69% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 947 | 1036 | 37% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 762 | 1043 | 17% | 2024-05-02 | Lost |
| 967 | 1030 | 41% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1025 vs 1018.4 has a 50.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).