Pipkorn's Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (12 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 883 | 906 | 47% | 2025-03-01 | Won |
| 883 | 917 | 45% | 2025-01-15 | Lost |
| 860 | 1149 | 16% | 2024-12-02 | Lost |
| 1174 | 966 | 77% | 2024-11-10 | Lost |
| 1062 | 883 | 74% | 2024-09-02 | Won |
| 1062 | 1189 | 32% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 1203 | 1010 | 75% | 2024-06-18 | Lost |
| 984 | 1010 | 46% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1183 | 1158 | 54% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1011 | 50% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 788 | 938 | 30% | 2024-05-02 | Lost |
| 860 | 1030 | 27% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 995.9 vs 1013.9 has a 47.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).