Round One
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 128 (2 on the archive and 126 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 69
Defender wins (Polish): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1032 | 45% | 2026-02-09 | Lost |
| 1059 | 961 | 64% | 2025-10-28 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1029.5 vs 996.5 has a 54.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).