The Overlook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (15 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 24
Defender wins (British): 22
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 906 | 81% | 2025-10-25 | Won |
| 1198 | 1163 | 55% | 2025-06-28 | Won |
| 1013 | 1006 | 51% | 2025-05-05 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1099 | 50% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1201 | 51% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 989 | 1098 | 35% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 1023 | 898 | 67% | 2025-01-30 | Won |
| 1302 | 999 | 85% | 2025-01-03 | Won |
| 891 | 869 | 53% | 2024-11-19 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1206 | 980 | 79% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 893 | 878 | 52% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
| 939 | 1065 | 33% | 2024-09-27 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1016 | 50% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
| 1151 | 991 | 72% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1078.7 vs 1019.1 has a 58.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).