The Overlook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (20 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (British): 30
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2026-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2026-03-21 | | Lost |
| 952 | 984 | 45% | 2026-03-14 | | Won |
| 966 | 901 | 59% | 2026-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1241 | 1000 | 80% | 2026-03-13 | | Won |
| 1167 | 894 | 83% | 2025-10-25 | | Won |
| 1200 | 1000 | 76% | 2025-06-28 | | Won |
| 976 | 1000 | 47% | 2025-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2025-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2025-03-03 | | Lost |
| 973 | 1152 | 26% | 2025-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 837 | 73% | 2025-01-30 | | Won |
| 1315 | 994 | 86% | 2025-01-03 | A | Won |
| 1000 | 869 | 68% | 2024-11-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | 2024-11-01 | D | Lost |
| 1192 | 967 | 79% | 2024-10-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 878 | 67% | 2024-10-20 | | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2024-09-27 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2024-09-14 | | Won |
| 1141 | 991 | 70% | 2024-09-14 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1083 vs 982.7 has a 64.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).