The Overlook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (17 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (British): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 984 | 56% | 2026-03-14 | Won |
| 893 | 900 | 49% | 2026-03-14 | Lost |
| 1166 | 887 | 83% | 2025-10-25 | Won |
| 1144 | 1163 | 47% | 2025-06-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2025-05-05 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1099 | 48% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1201 | 45% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 973 | 1095 | 33% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 1001 | 861 | 69% | 2025-01-30 | Won |
| 1306 | 999 | 85% | 2025-01-03 | Won |
| 891 | 869 | 53% | 2024-11-19 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1165 | 952 | 77% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 893 | 878 | 52% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
| 967 | 1027 | 41% | 2024-09-27 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1018 | 56% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
| 1140 | 991 | 70% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1052.9 vs 996.6 has a 58.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).