The Overlook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (12 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (British): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 927 | 50% | 2025-05-05 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1120 | 53% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1205 | 51% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 989 | 1109 | 33% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 961 | 984 | 47% | 2025-01-30 | Won |
| 1307 | 981 | 87% | 2025-01-03 | Won |
| 891 | 879 | 52% | 2024-11-19 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1004 | 77% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 893 | 878 | 52% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
| 957 | 1054 | 36% | 2024-09-27 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1016 | 49% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1051.4 vs 1022.8 has a 54.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).