The Overlook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 24
Defender wins (British): 21
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1109 | 985 | 67% | 2025-10-25 | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2025-06-28 | Won |
| 975 | 992 | 48% | 2025-05-05 | Lost |
| 992 | 1010 | 47% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 947 | 1002 | 42% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 985 | 1181 | 24% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-01-30 | Won |
| 1234 | 1000 | 79% | 2025-01-03 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-11-19 | Lost |
| 841 | 1126 | 16% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 947 | 870 | 61% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
| 887 | 991 | 35% | 2024-09-27 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1202 | 36% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
| 1216 | 1000 | 78% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1022.7 vs 1023.9 has a 49.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).