The Overlook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (14 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (British): 21
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1162 | 1162 | 50% | 2025-06-28 | Won |
| 1043 | 1047 | 49% | 2025-05-05 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1099 | 51% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1205 | 43% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 989 | 1099 | 35% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 976 | 970 | 51% | 2025-01-30 | Won |
| 1320 | 981 | 88% | 2025-01-03 | Won |
| 891 | 896 | 49% | 2024-11-19 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1159 | 975 | 74% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 893 | 878 | 52% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 957 | 60% | 2024-09-27 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1016 | 52% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
| 1152 | 991 | 72% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1071.3 vs 1027.1 has a 56.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).