King and Love
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (11 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2025-08-19 | | Lost |
| 1079 | 1134 | 42% | 2025-08-02 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1138 | 30% | 2025-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1258 | 1143 | 66% | 2025-07-25 | | Won |
| 1018 | 692 | 87% | 2025-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2025-03-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2025-02-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2025-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 966 | 61% | 2025-01-29 | | Won |
| 959 | 1174 | 22% | 2025-01-02 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | 2024-11-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1048.4 vs 1010.5 has a 55.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).