The Muzsla Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (7 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (Hungarian): 8
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Hungarian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1243 | 17% | 2025-08-30 | Lost |
| 1152 | 997 | 71% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 1124 | 1207 | 38% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 1063 | 1099 | 45% | 2025-05-24 | Lost |
| 726 | 1065 | 12% | 2025-05-23 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1189 | 33% | 2025-05-20 | Lost |
| 950 | 933 | 52% | 2025-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1006.3 vs 1104.7 has a 36.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).