Hill 424
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (13 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (American): 5
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 901 | 1178 | 17% | 2026-04-23 | Lost |
| 1021 | 881 | 69% | 2026-03-15 | Won |
| 1079 | 1030 | 57% | 2025-06-04 | Won |
| 1145 | 1078 | 60% | 2025-04-11 | Tied |
| 1163 | 938 | 79% | 2025-03-08 | Won |
| 924 | 940 | 48% | 2025-02-27 | Won |
| 820 | 1159 | 12% | 2025-02-18 | Lost |
| 989 | 866 | 67% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 955 | 1031 | 39% | 2025-02-06 | Won |
| 1204 | 1213 | 49% | 2025-01-31 | Won |
| 1007 | 1072 | 41% | 2025-01-26 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2025-01-23 | Won |
| 1053 | 884 | 73% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1029.3 vs 1025.1 has a 50.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).