Hill 424
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (12 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (American): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2026-03-15 | Won |
| 1080 | 1031 | 57% | 2025-06-04 | Won |
| 1143 | 1045 | 64% | 2025-04-11 | Tied |
| 1163 | 938 | 79% | 2025-03-08 | Won |
| 924 | 941 | 48% | 2025-02-27 | Won |
| 824 | 1175 | 12% | 2025-02-18 | Lost |
| 1012 | 851 | 72% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 1040 | 954 | 62% | 2025-02-06 | Won |
| 1169 | 1190 | 47% | 2025-01-31 | Won |
| 1029 | 1073 | 44% | 2025-01-26 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2025-01-23 | Won |
| 1052 | 884 | 72% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1048.1 vs 1013.4 has a 54.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).