Hill 424
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (10 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 1069 | 53% | 2025-06-04 | Won |
| 1164 | 1036 | 68% | 2025-04-11 | Tied |
| 1096 | 960 | 69% | 2025-03-08 | Won |
| 924 | 925 | 50% | 2025-02-27 | Won |
| 828 | 1153 | 13% | 2025-02-18 | Lost |
| 1002 | 889 | 66% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 1018 | 982 | 55% | 2025-02-06 | Won |
| 1133 | 1140 | 49% | 2025-01-31 | Won |
| 1082 | 1058 | 53% | 2025-01-26 | Won |
| 1175 | 912 | 82% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1051.1 vs 1012.4 has a 55.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).