Hill 424
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (11 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (American): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1081 | 1068 | 52% | 2025-06-04 | Won |
| 1124 | 1045 | 61% | 2025-04-11 | Tied |
| 1152 | 937 | 78% | 2025-03-08 | Won |
| 924 | 941 | 48% | 2025-02-27 | Won |
| 824 | 1184 | 11% | 2025-02-18 | Lost |
| 1002 | 879 | 67% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 977 | 1054 | 39% | 2025-02-06 | Won |
| 1176 | 1176 | 50% | 2025-01-31 | Won |
| 1081 | 1057 | 53% | 2025-01-26 | Won |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2025-01-23 | Won |
| 1061 | 882 | 74% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1047.7 vs 1025.3 has a 53.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).