Hill 424
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (13 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (American): 5
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 1002 | 56% | 2026-04-23 | A | Lost |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2026-03-15 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2025-06-04 | | Won |
| 1144 | 1078 | 59% | 2025-04-11 | | Tied |
| 1187 | 923 | 82% | 2025-03-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2025-02-27 | | Won |
| 808 | 1125 | 14% | 2025-02-18 | | Lost |
| 999 | 841 | 71% | 2025-02-09 | | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2025-02-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1196 | 24% | 2025-01-31 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1088 | 42% | 2025-01-26 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2025-01-23 | | Won |
| 1045 | 966 | 61% | 2025-01-15 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1035.4 vs 1028.5 has a 50.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).