Hill 424
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (American): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1149 | 1026 | 67% | 2025-04-11 | Tied |
| 1096 | 960 | 69% | 2025-03-08 | Won |
| 924 | 890 | 55% | 2025-02-27 | Won |
| 829 | 1200 | 11% | 2025-02-18 | Lost |
| 1027 | 873 | 71% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 1014 | 972 | 56% | 2025-02-06 | Won |
| 1135 | 1154 | 47% | 2025-01-31 | Won |
| 1082 | 1087 | 49% | 2025-01-26 | Won |
| 1176 | 950 | 79% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1048 vs 1012.4 has a 55.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).