Under the Bloody Birches
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (3 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (Finnish): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 790 | 1184 | 9% | 2026-01-10 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1067 | 65% | 2026-01-10 | Won |
| 1017 | 1003 | 52% | 2026-01-09 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 995 vs 1084.7 has a 37.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).