Expelled!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (3 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 922 | 1070 | 30% | 2025-10-05 | Lost |
| 1049 | 949 | 64% | 2025-08-09 | Won |
| 1011 | 1037 | 46% | 2025-04-24 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 994 vs 1018.7 has a 46.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).