Expelled!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (5 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 1071 | 32% | 2025-11-26 | Lost |
| 1275 | 1216 | 58% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 919 | 1071 | 29% | 2025-10-05 | Lost |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2025-08-09 | Won |
| 948 | 1037 | 37% | 2025-04-24 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1015.4 vs 1079 has a 40.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).