Recovery Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (4 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1006 | 1038 | 45% | 2026-07-02 | Won |
| 924 | 1073 | 30% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 1039 | 993 | 57% | 2025-07-19 | Lost |
| 943 | 939 | 51% | 2025-05-11 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 978 vs 1010.8 has a 45.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).