Polka's Dance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (4 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (French): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
873 | 873 | 50% | 2025-05-27 | Lost |
1196 | 968 | 79% | 2025-05-08 | Won |
764 | 1044 | 17% | 2025-05-01 | Lost |
998 | 1176 | 26% | 2025-04-14 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 957.8 vs 1015.3 has a 41.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).