Polka's Dance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (8 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (French): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1200 | 1189 | 52% | 2025-10-17 | Won |
| 1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2025-10-11 | Won |
| 934 | 1019 | 38% | 2025-10-04 | Lost |
| 892 | 892 | 50% | 2025-05-27 | Lost |
| 1201 | 968 | 79% | 2025-05-08 | Won |
| 780 | 1018 | 20% | 2025-05-01 | Lost |
| 879 | 1052 | 27% | 2025-04-14 | Lost |
| 934 | 1019 | 38% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 984.4 vs 1026.5 has a 43.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).