Polka's Dance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (8 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (French): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1144 | 1144 | 50% | 2025-10-17 | Won |
| 1054 | 1054 | 50% | 2025-10-11 | Won |
| 932 | 1013 | 39% | 2025-10-04 | Lost |
| 893 | 893 | 50% | 2025-05-27 | Lost |
| 1196 | 968 | 79% | 2025-05-08 | Won |
| 780 | 1013 | 21% | 2025-05-01 | Lost |
| 919 | 1077 | 29% | 2025-04-14 | Lost |
| 932 | 1013 | 39% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 981.3 vs 1021.9 has a 44.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).