Task Force Sparks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6 (4 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 1028 | 50% | 2026-02-24 | Lost |
| 958 | 978 | 47% | 2025-12-07 | Won |
| 978 | 958 | 53% | 2025-11-30 | Lost |
| 933 | 1078 | 30% | 2025-06-06 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 974.3 vs 1010.5 has a 44.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).