Gavin Take
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (11 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 31
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 961 | 1002 | 44% | 2026-02-26 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | 2026-02-19 | Won |
| 1002 | 1059 | 42% | 2026-02-16 | Lost |
| 1113 | 993 | 67% | 2026-02-16 | Lost |
| 971 | 1218 | 19% | 2026-01-07 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1211 | 51% | 2026-01-07 | Won |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 1115 | 885 | 79% | 2025-09-11 | Lost |
| 1039 | 953 | 62% | 2025-08-26 | Won |
| 993 | 1028 | 45% | 2025-08-24 | Won |
| 1013 | 986 | 54% | 2025-08-13 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1035.5 vs 1028.9 has a 50.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).