Disaster at Ypenburg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (2 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Dutch): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 1163 | 49% | 2026-04-29 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2025-11-20 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1112.5 vs 1114.5 has a 49.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).