Disaster at Ypenburg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (4 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Dutch): 9
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Dutch): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2026-06-30 | Won |
| 1136 | 1102 | 55% | 2026-04-29 | Won |
| 1253 | 1241 | 52% | 2026-01-03 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2025-11-20 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1113.8 vs 1114 has a 49.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).