Disaster at Ypenburg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (3 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Dutch): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1136 | 1077 | 58% | 2026-04-29 | Won |
| 1271 | 1245 | 54% | 2026-01-03 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2025-11-20 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1157.7 vs 1129.3 has a 54.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).