Disaster at Ypenburg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (4 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Dutch): 4
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Dutch): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 941 | 64% | 2026-06-30 | A | Won |
| 1024 | 985 | 56% | 2026-04-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1217 | 22% | 2026-01-03 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-11-20 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1024.8 vs 1035.8 has a 48.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).