Crossing Chaos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (21 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (French / Belgian): 26
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (French / Belgian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2026-07-19 | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2026-07-15 | Won |
| 1185 | 1218 | 45% | 2026-05-28 | Won |
| 977 | 1021 | 44% | 2026-03-30 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1241 | 52% | 2026-03-27 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1071 | 48% | 2026-03-26 | Lost |
| 1016 | 890 | 67% | 2026-03-23 | Won |
| 915 | 1152 | 20% | 2026-03-14 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1184 | 56% | 2026-03-14 | Lost |
| 965 | 1208 | 20% | 2026-03-13 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1070 | 46% | 2026-03-13 | Won |
| 1198 | 1161 | 55% | 2026-03-13 | Lost |
| 1033 | 948 | 62% | 2026-03-06 | Lost |
| 970 | 1034 | 41% | 2026-03-05 | Won |
| 1227 | 1198 | 54% | 2026-01-31 | Lost |
| 969 | 980 | 48% | 2026-01-31 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1136 | 48% | 2026-01-07 | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2025-12-14 | Won |
| 1035 | 1007 | 54% | 2025-11-22 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1074 | 59% | 2025-10-10 | Won |
| 1162 | 890 | 83% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1079.1 vs 1088.5 has a 48.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).