Crossing Chaos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (16 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (French / Belgian): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2026-03-26 | Lost |
| 890 | 890 | 50% | 2026-03-23 | Won |
| 915 | 1095 | 26% | 2026-03-14 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1213 | 52% | 2026-03-14 | Lost |
| 920 | 903 | 52% | 2026-03-13 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1059 | 47% | 2026-03-13 | Won |
| 1190 | 1160 | 54% | 2026-03-13 | Lost |
| 1038 | 973 | 59% | 2026-03-06 | Lost |
| 970 | 1034 | 41% | 2026-03-05 | Won |
| 1169 | 1190 | 47% | 2026-01-31 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1026 | 48% | 2026-01-31 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1136 | 47% | 2026-01-07 | Lost |
| 1115 | 885 | 79% | 2025-12-14 | Won |
| 1035 | 1007 | 54% | 2025-11-22 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1036 | 63% | 2025-10-10 | Won |
| 1162 | 895 | 82% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1060.6 vs 1034.4 has a 53.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).