Two If By Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (10 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 10
Defender wins (German): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 895 | 1004 | 35% | 2026-06-15 | | Won |
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2025-12-07 | | Won |
| 1030 | 970 | 59% | 2025-10-10 | | Won |
| 1095 | 837 | 82% | 2025-09-15 | | Won |
| 898 | 1000 | 36% | 2025-08-25 | | Won |
| 1152 | 1005 | 70% | 2025-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1005 | 1000 | 51% | 2025-08-13 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-08-10 | | Won |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2025-07-21 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-03-09 | D | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1017.4 vs 981.6 has a 55.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).